Beyond DESI, a slew of new instruments are coming online in the coming years, including the 8.4-meter Vera Rubin Observatory in Chile, NASAâs Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope, and the European Space Agencyâs Euclid mission.
âOur data in cosmology has made enormous leaps over the last 25 years, and itâs about to make bigger leaps,â Frieman said.
As they amass new observations, researchers may continue to find that dark energy appears as constant as it has for a generation. Or, if the trend continues in the direction suggested by DESIâs results, it could change everything.
New Physics
If dark energy is weakening, it canât be a cosmological constant. Instead, it may be the same sort of field that many cosmologists think sparked a moment of exponential expansion during the universeâs birth. This kind of âscalar fieldâ could fill space with an amount of energy that looks constant at firstâlike the cosmological constantâbut eventually starts to slip over time.
âThe idea that dark energy is varying is very natural,â said Paul Steinhardt, a cosmologist at Princeton University. Otherwise, he continued, âit would be the only form of energy we know which is absolutely constant in space and time.â
But that variability would bring about a profound paradigm shift: We would not be living in a vacuum, which is defined as the lowest-energy state of the universe. Instead, we would inhabit an energized state thatâs slowly sliding toward a true vacuum. âWeâre used to thinking that weâre living in the vacuum,â Steinhardt said, âbut no one promised you that.â
The fate of the cosmos would depend on how quickly the number previously known as the cosmological constant declines, and how far it might go. If it reaches zero, cosmic acceleration would stop. If it dips far enough below zero, the expansion of space would turn to a slow contractionâthe sort of reversal required for cyclic theories of cosmology, such as those developed by Steinhardt.
String theorists share a similar outlook. With their proposal that everything boils down to the vibration of strings, they can weave together universes with different numbers of dimensions and all manner of exotic particles and forces. But they canât easily construct a universe that permanently maintains a stable positive energy, as our universe has seemed to. Instead, in string theory, the energy must either gently fall over the course of billions of years or violently drop to zero or a negative value. âEssentially, all string theorists believe that itâs one or the other. We do not know which one,â said Cumrun Vafa of Harvard University.
Observational evidence for a gradual decline of dark energy would be a boon for the gentle-fall scenario. âThat would be amazing. It would be the most important discovery since the discovery of dark energy itself,â Vafa said.
But for now, any such speculations are rooted in the DESI analysis in only the loosest of ways. Cosmologists will have to observe many millions more galaxies before seriously entertaining thoughts of revolution.
âIf this holds up, it could light the way to a new, potentially deeper understanding of the universe,â Riess said. âThe next few years should be very revealing.â
Original story reprinted with permission from Quanta Magazine, an editorially independent publication of the Simons Foundation whose mission is to enhance public understanding of science by covering research developments and trends in mathematics and the physical and life sciences.
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